It's the question I asked
everyone I met on my road trip across America: How will it all turn out? You
know, the Trump thing.
The range of predictions
surprised me. From, Trump is a man of "heinous" character, to
"it's all a bunch of noise."
I found cynicism:
"Muller will find collusion, but nobody's going to care." And
head-up-butt wishful thinking: "Nothing he's done is Constitutionally
wrong."
Lots of fear: "He'll
start a war and ride out four years." And, "He could lose the 2020
election, but refuse to concede."
My friends with the most
dogmatic opinions were those who were the most informed ("I can almost 100%
guarantee you, he won't make it through all four years."), and, to a
shocking extent, those who were least informed "What's the pee-pee
tape?"). Everyone else expressed sensible uncertainty about the fate of
Trump, et al., and all the unpredictable political events in our immediate future.
Will the Democrats control
the House after this fall's elections? Answers were "yes," "no,"
and "they have a 52% chance." Few thought Trump will actually be
impeached, even some of my most liberal friends.
Will Trump last four years?
Get re-elected? I heard every conceivable answer.
I asked the big question about
how it's all going to turn out because, like everyone else held captive by the
drama, I wish I knew. And there's no way to tell. Anything is possible. Any one
of us, or none of us, could guess correctly.
* * *
Having broached the question,
it's only fair that I put out there my own prediction. As a wise friend reminds
me, everyone's entitled to their own stupid opinion.
Character is destiny. This truth comes, not from a fortune cookie, but from
a Greek philosopher 2,500 years ago. Trump's character is thoroughly and
absolutely foul. He's a psychopathic narcissist, and the most corrupt
politician ever. There will be no good ending for Trump, and history will not
be kind.
Absolutes can be dangerous. The
worst character ever? You might ask in response, as did one friend, "Yeah,
well what about Hitler?" To that, I say, if that's the bar, you got me.
Next up for defense by the
Trumpettes, always, is Hillary. "Well, yeah, but what about Benghazi,"
etc., ad nauseam. They proclaim that no matter what Trump may have done, or is doing
now, he's still way better than that lying, stood-by-her-man, evil woman. We'll
soon see how that works out.
No matter how bad things
look, they are always worse. That's
my second political principle. Trump never really wanted to be President. He
just wanted to build his brand, get richer, and feed his insatiable ego. He
never counted on savage, investigative beasts clawing through his sordid garbage.
What we know now will be just the start of revelations about the Trump/Kushner
shenanigans with Russian criminals and their booty.
Trump and his court of
jesters are in way over their heads.
The talent and brilliance of those determined to learn the whole truth --
journalists, Muller and crew, honest bureaucrats -- will persevere. For all his
instinctive gifts as hustler and con man, Trump's not very bright. Nor are his
kids, and certainly not his coterie of buffoons, whom he considers "the
best people." Journalists have risen to the challenge, and they are rock
stars of the day.
People are fucking morons. This is actually "Wayne Rule No. 1," but I
stuck it in here at the end, since it's sure to offend. Nevertheless, it's a
failsafe rule for explaining any inexplicable behavior, such as "how can
40% of voters still support the greatest con man that America has ever seen?"
The upshot. I think the Muller team, as well as the Senate
investigating committee, have grounds for impeachment right now. Trump's efforts
to keep his own hands clean of his Russian money-laundering scams, campaign
collusions, and personal foibles (e.g, Stormy Daniels), will prove amateurish.
He's going down.
The Democrats will take the
House in the mid-terms, but probably not the Senate. That will leave an
impeachment process uncertain, since the House impeaches, but the Senate
convicts. In any event, I think the House will initiate impeachment before the
2020 election.
At that point, the walls of
reality will be closing in on Trump. With Jared facing jail time, his own scandalous
misdeeds further revealed, and public support dropping back into the 30's, what
will he do?
For one thing, he will find
some way to fire Muller. It may be a suicidal act, but there will come a point
when he has nothing to lose. It will be too late. When he realizes that, then
what?
The rosy scenario is
that he will resign. Declare his MAGA mission complete and go home. I can't see
that happening. When has he ever backed down? Okay, maybe once, when he let that
porn star spank his flabby ass with the magazine with his own face on it. WWJD? Let's
give him a mulligan on that one, like the Christians are doing.
The nightmare scenario
is that he starts a war to rally public support behind him. That could work. I
could absolutely see him capable of doing that. It would not surprise me. Pick a country. Syria? How about Mexico?
The most-likely scenario
is that he continues along in his bubble, until it bursts when he loses the
2020 election in a landslide. He will declare himself the victim of fake news
and illegal votes, find some way to blame Obama, and retreat to whatever ignominious
future awaits him alone. Melania will be on the first jet out of town. Trump
will be endlessly featured on National
Enquirer covers, as she declares that her prenup was negated by his
affairs and cover-ups.
Attorney Michael Cohen will
write a tell-all from jail, in order to pay his own legal costs. Fox News
viewership, and NRA membership, will sky-rocket as they declare the imminent
end-of-the world, with a Democrat woman as President. Fox will reveal she is
related to Hillary, with intimate ties to the Deep State. Evangelical leaders
will declare her to be the new she-devil and the Anti-Christ.
Anyhow, that's what I'm
predicting.
* * *
As for how this road trip of
mine turns out, it ends where it began -- at home, which is now less than three
hours away. I'll wrap up this little travelogue, "Travels with
Wayne," later, with one more story.
http://wayneaschmidt.blogspot.com/2018/04/paradise.html